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Ways to Minimize the Likelihoood of Drafting a Bust

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  • Ways to Minimize the Likelihoood of Drafting a Bust

    A lot of people make predictions of whether or not a prospect will be a bust or not. What kinds of things do you look for?

  • #2
    A lot of people make predictions of whether or not a prospect will be a bust or not. What kinds of things do you look for?
    Production in college - Generally guys who did nothing in college but test well are red flagged.

    Injury History - Is one of the leading causes of busts.

    Character Issues - Obvious reasons, a true express train out of the league is legal trouble or being a dickhead in the changeroom or lacking work habits.

    Lock those things away and you have a better chance of picking a prospect that wont bust. Throw in how NFL ready they are, picking purely on potential will obviously elevate the bust potential because it is all risk vs reward.


    Props to BK on the sig!

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    • #3
      Originally posted by wordofi View Post
      A lot of people make predictions of whether or not a prospect will be a bust or not. What kinds of things do you look for?
      1) work ethic (are there reports of him skipping practices or just being lazy? A desire to be a better player generally means you will be a better player. If you don't care to get better, than there is a good chance your peers will end up being better than you at the next level)

      2) Reason for hype (Was his production just so-so in college, but ended up getting tons of hype due to being a workout warrior with crazy measurables?)

      2) Character concerns (a lot of people do not like a player who has had a history of problems with authority, both law enforcement and the school [suspensions or even being kicked out])

      4) His style of play (i.e. does he do a lot of things that won't work in the NFL, but do work in college due to the overall size of players or lack of talent. This even refers to QBs who can get away with bad mechanics and a lack of ability to read defenses due to a certain offensive scheme and / or the players around him)

      Edit:

      5) Injuries (thanks Wogitalia for reminding me)
      Last edited by Bengalsrocket; 03-09-2010, 04:13 AM. Reason: forgot injuries!

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      • #4
        Both responses just about sum it up.

        I'd add in scheme where he played, self-motivation, and dedication to the game.

        Also, if Al Davis really likes him, stay away.

        Props to clover_jeez!

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        • #5
          I like Bill Parcels formula for drafting a QB

          1.Must be a SR
          2. At least a 3 yr starter
          3. Must win at least 23 games
          4. A college graduate

          That is formula is a pretty successful one if you go back and look at the top tier QBs in the league I.E Peyton Manning, Drew Brees. Sorry Jamarcus Russell.


          Sick Sig by the BONEKRUSHER


          Originally posted by Raheem Morris
          Stats are for losers, so you keep looking at stats and we'll keep looking at wins.

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          • #6
            To me the big thing is character and if a guy has NFL talent. IF you have NFL talent and will bust your ass a player probably won't bust, injuries could change that but predicting injuries is a ***** and a half.

            Honestly it's hard to know who'll be a bust until they've already been picked because many players will bust if they land in the wrong scheme, with bad coaches or on a poorly assembled roster, so knowing where a player will be playing is IMO the most important factor in figuring out who'll bust.

            BK

            Originally posted by AcheTen
            JPP is a better and more productive player than Brandon Graham
            Originally posted by abaddon41_80
            Is Shaun Hill a top 10 QB? Definitely not. Is he a top 20 one? Almost certainly.
            Originally posted by JBCX
            Most misleading 10+ sack season EVER.

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            • #7
              If the lions are willing to draft him, avoid at all costs(except for Megatron)
              Sam Bradford will be a bust- 2/24/2010

              Colts Cardinals Bulls Hurricanes

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              • #8
                The Raiders formula:

                1.) 40 time
                2.) How many reps on the bench press?
                3.) 40 time
                4.) Is he a big hitter if he's a safety? Does he have a strong arm if he's a QB?
                5.) What was that 40 time again? 4.28? Draft him in the first round immediately!

                ^ That, btw, is the exact flowchart that Al Davis uses on draft day.

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by Morton View Post
                  The Raiders formula:

                  1.) 40 time
                  2.) How many reps on the bench press?
                  3.) 40 time
                  4.) Is he a big hitter if he's a safety? Does he have a strong arm if he's a QB?
                  5.) What was that 40 time again? 4.28? Draft him in the first round immediately!

                  ^ That, btw, is the exact flowchart that Al Davis uses on draft day.
                  Lmao! But so true


                  Sick Sig by the BONEKRUSHER


                  Originally posted by Raheem Morris
                  Stats are for losers, so you keep looking at stats and we'll keep looking at wins.

                  Comment

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