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Job security of NFL head coaches

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  • Job security of NFL head coaches

    Here is a list I made where I discuss how secure each coach's job is. Generally, the scale goes like this:

    High - Will get fired unless they do a great job (make the playoffs, win a few more games than last year.)

    Medium - Could get fired if they have a losing season (good teams) or really bomb it (teams that already sucked.)

    Low - Most likely won't get fired - something drastic would need to happen over the rest of the year.

    Nonexistent - These guys have won a Super Bowl, and recently. They won't get fired no matter what.

    ---

    AFC EAST

    Dick Jauron (Buffalo Bills) - High

    I don't see the Bills keeping Dick around if he has another losing season. So far, he hasn't done much of anything. Needs at least eight wins.

    Tony Sparano (Miami Dolphins) - Low

    I think if he has a terrible season this year (which looks likely), he'll be on the hot seat, but he helped turn the team around last year.

    Bill Belichick (New England Patriots) - Nonexistent

    There's absolutely no way someone who's had as much success as Belichick gets fired anytime soon. He stays until he quits or retires.

    Rex Ryan (New York Jets) - Low

    Very low chance of him getting fired. The Jets look like a very good team this year and I expect them to win at least 10 or 11 games at this rate.

    ---

    AFC NORTH

    Jim Harbaugh (Baltimore Ravens) - Low

    The Ravens look very good so far, they did a nice job last year, and Harbaugh has got the offense on track. They don't even miss Rex Ryan much.

    Marvin Lewis (Cincinnati Bengals) - Medium

    Hasn't been fired yet, so the Bengals must like him. If they can pull off a winning season, he stays. If not, he should go. He's had enough chances.

    Eric Mangini (Cleveland Browns) - High

    There's some talk he doesn't even make it through the season. Browns have looked terrible, and Mangini is supposedly unpopular there.

    Mike Tomlin (Pittsburgh Steelers) - Nonexistent

    Just won the Super Bowl, almost no chance he gets fired. The Steelers are also historically loyal to coaches, so he'll be there next year.

    ---

    AFC SOUTH

    Gary Kubiak (Houston Texans) - High

    Frankly, I'll be surprised if he's there next year. I thought he'd do a good job in Houston but he's been disappointing so far. Needs a winning season.

    Jim Caldwell (Indianapolis Colts) - Low

    Just got hired, so I doubt he gets fired this year. Still, a disappointing season (nine wins or less) could put him on the hot seat for next year.

    Jack Del Rio (Jacksonville Jaguars) - High

    He's been on the hot seat for a couple years, so this year he really needs to impress. The Jaguars need to win at least eight or nine games.

    Jeff Fisher (Tennessee Titans) - Low

    One of the most overrated coaches in the league in my opinion, but he'll keep his job. Hot seat if the Titans have a losing season after going 13-3.

    ---

    AFC WEST

    Josh McDaniels (Denver Broncos) - Low

    Has looked very good in leading the Broncos to a 3-0 record, although he hasn't beaten any teams that were successful last year.

    Todd Haley (Kansas City Chiefs) - Medium

    Has rubbed some people the wrong way, and the Chiefs have looked awful. Still, he's new and will probably get another year to win.

    Tom Cable (Oakland Raiders) - High

    The Raiders are 1-2, JaMarcus Russell has looked awful, and I don't see good things this year. Al Davis is also historically impatient.

    Norv Turner (San Diego Chargers) - Medium

    I could see a losing season earning him a pink slip, but I doubt that happens. If they don't win the division, he's gone, but I expect 10+ wins.

    ---

    NFC EAST

    Wade Phillips (Dallas Cowboys) - High

    Mildly surprised he wasn't fired last year. Next year, I think someone like Mike Shanahan will probably take over, since Wade hasn't cut it.

    Tom Coughlin (New York Giants) - Nonexistent

    One of the few (three) coaches in the league with a ring as a head coach. He won't get fired any time soon, and the Giants have looked good.

    Andy Reid (Philadelphia Eagles) - Low

    I don't expect he gets fired, although he hasn't won the big game yet. The Eagles would need to go 5-11 or 6-10 for him to be in danger.

    Jim Zorn (Washington Redskins) - High

    I've thought he was terrible from the beginning, and this week was a disgrace. He'll be gone by the end of the season unless the Skins turn it around.

    ---

    NFC NORTH

    Lovie Smith (Chicago Bears) - Medium

    If the Bears win only six or seven games, he'll probably be gone. Now that he has a "franchise QB", he has no excuse for a losing season.

    Jim Schwartz (Detroit Lions) - Low

    He's already won more games than the Lions did last year - an infinite percentage more. The Lions need to keep him around at least another year.

    Mike McCarthy (Green Bay Packers) - Medium

    I could see him getting fired if the Packers have another losing season, but they've looked good enough to win eight games or so this year.

    Brad Childress (Minnesota Vikings) - Medium

    Basically needs to win a playoff game or win 10+ games to keep his job, but I see that happening. The Vikings are just too talented this year.

    ---

    NFC SOUTH

    Mike Smith (Atlanta Falcons) - Low

    Smith has done a nice job with the Falcons. I don't expect he'll get fired anytime soon. A bad season could put him on the hot seat, though.

    John Fox (Carolina Panthers) - High

    Actually a big John Fox fan, but he'll really have to impress to keep his job. Jake Delhomme is going to facilitate his exit from Carolina.

    Sean Payton (New Orleans Saints) - Low

    The Saints have been playing lights-out, and so they'd need to completely collapse in order for Payton to lose his job. Brees won't let it happen.

    Raheem Morris (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) - High

    There's no excuse for the way the Buccaneers have been playing so far. Morris may be new, but he's been the worst of the new head coaches.

    ---

    NFC WEST

    Ken Whisenhunt (Arizona Cardinals) - Low

    He'd really need to bomb this year to get consideration since the Cardinals made the Super Bowl. A bad season puts him on the hot seat.

    Steve Spagnuolo (St. Louis Rams) - Medium

    I think he'll be fine eventually, but the Rams look terrible so far. Has to win at least 4 games to be reasonably safe, but I think he can do it.

    Mike Singletary (San Francisco 49ers) - Low

    Has done a nice job by most accounts as the 49ers' head coach, and I don't think he gets fired this year. He should be a long-term coach.

    Jim Mora Jr. (Seattle Seahawks) - Medium

    Probably safe this year, maybe not next year. The Seahawks have somewhat high expectations, so a 3-13 or 4-12 season could get him out.

  • #2
    I think you got it backwards. Wouldn't they have high job security if they won't get fired no matter what?

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by MetSox17 View Post
      I think you got it backwards. Wouldn't they have high job security if they won't get fired no matter what?
      Yeah, I know, I messed that up a bit, just because I did the list before I titled the topic. Oh well, it's not like it's really hard to decipher.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by RavenOfProphecy View Post
        Yeah, I know, I messed that up a bit, just because I did the list before I titled the topic. Oh well, it's not like it's really hard to decipher.
        Lol yeah, i just thought it looked a little weird.

        Honestly, i think Mangini's still there next season, but you never know. And i'd have Brad Childress on HIGH (or low, depends how you wanna look at it). They've been calling for his head for two years now, and Favre is gone after this season, it's not like they need to worry about pissing him off.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by MetSox17 View Post
          Lol yeah, i just thought it looked a little weird.

          Honestly, i think Mangini's still there next season, but you never know. And i'd have Brad Childress on HIGH (or low, depends how you wanna look at it). They've been calling for his head for two years now, and Favre is gone after this season, it's not like they need to worry about pissing him off.
          I think Childress will make the playoffs, and most likely win a game (wild card round), so I think they bring him back. Anything less than a playoff appearance and he's gone, though. As far as Mangini, there are some rumors he gets fired IN-SEASON, which would be almost unheard of. Nonetheless, the Browns have looked about as bad as a team can look. Their offense is just as stagnant as it gets, and their defense isn't stopping anyone either.

          Comment


          • #6
            I think Childress has a lot less job security then you think. I also! think that Wilf has a low job security because the fans are getting pissed with the decision making. But, Chilly is on the hot seat this year. He will be gone of the Vikings don't have 10+ wins and make the playoffs. And I also think that he will be fired even if they don't make it to the NFCCG...

            Mangini will be given another year.

            Any coach that is on the Raiders is on the hot seat. Whether or not he (or she?) does well. Al Davis is a crazy, bitchy old man, and that's why coaches don't last there.

            Lovie smith will get his ass fired if he doesn't make it to the playoffs this year.

            The Redskins coaches are always on the hot seat cause the Redskins will never be a franchise worthy of winning a superbowl. Sorry Skinzzz fans.

            I don't think John Fox is on the hot seat as much as Jake Delhomme...

            sig by fenikz
            Originally posted by ImBrotherCain
            You are just a terrible person.
            Originally posted by bigbluedefense
            I have an iPhone.

            Comment


            • #7
              After hearing about the things that went down with the Jets, I can see the Browns quitting on Mangini, if they haven't already. He's always done too much micro-managing, and always rubbed his players and management the wrong way. With a team with little talent like Cleveland, that could end badly.
              I can also see the Chiefs quitting on Haley. If he goes Steve Spurrier with his quarterbacks and alienates his players, they could quit on him.

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              • #8
                I wouldnt be suprised at all if Jim Zorn is fired tomorrow.

                Sig by BoneKrusher

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                • #9
                  Childress SHOULD have to make it to the NFCCG to keep his job. I don't think that will be the case though. If we make the playoffs I think he stays, which is sad.

                  Leslie Frazier for head coach.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by yo123 View Post
                    Childress SHOULD have to make it to the NFCCG to keep his job. I don't think that will be the case though. If we make the playoffs I think he stays, which is sad.

                    Leslie Frazier for head coach.
                    Frazier will be snagged by someone else this off-season if Childress doesn't get fired.

                    sig by fenikz
                    Originally posted by ImBrotherCain
                    You are just a terrible person.
                    Originally posted by bigbluedefense
                    I have an iPhone.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      I'd agree with Del Rio being High, but I think with the way Wayne Weaver works and Del Rio's contract, he's more like Medium.

                      by BoneKrusher
                      <DG> how metal unseen
                      <TheUnseen> Drunken Canadian Bastard: There's an APS for that

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by vikes_29 View Post
                        I think Childress has a lot less job security then you think. I also! think that Wilf has a low job security because the fans are getting pissed with the decision making.
                        How the hell can the owner have low job security?

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Jeff Fisher should be under the nonexistent category for this season. I'll literally eat a boot if Jeff Fisher is fired after this season.
                          Credit to BoneKrusher for the Sig
                          RIP themaninblack

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by GB12 View Post
                            How the hell can the owner have low job security?
                            Low fan support, people ditch games, not enough revenue... There is a point where the NFL is all about business, and if the team isn't making money, than the fans will run the owner out of town. And if the team isn't making money itself, the shared revenue isn't going to do everything for the team. There is a time that when there is no fan support that maintenance cost and player/ coach salaries have to be paid out of pocket by the owner. I wouldn't wanna have to pay players out of my own pocket if I was an owner.
                            Last edited by vikes_28; 09-27-2009, 10:54 PM.

                            sig by fenikz
                            Originally posted by ImBrotherCain
                            You are just a terrible person.
                            Originally posted by bigbluedefense
                            I have an iPhone.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by VoodooMonkey View Post
                              Jeff Fisher should be under the nonexistent category for this season. I'll literally eat a boot if Jeff Fisher is fired after this season.
                              He said he only gave non-existent to coaches who won a Super Bowl.

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