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Pick your top 5 locks (with spread).

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  • #16
    I like the Niners' chances against the Titans because our run defense is so sick. That, and we're at home.

    Pick the Winners Champion 2008 | 2011

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    • #17
      There are a lot of lines this week that just look ridiculous to me.


      I don't think New England has done near enough to be a double digit favorite against someone like Miami, who has proven to not be a cakewalk by any means, they should keep that game close.

      Why the Ravens are -3 on the road in Cincy is beyond me. Cincy already beat them and are coming off a bye.

      Pretty much the same thing with the Steelers/Broncos. Denver loses one game and now they're 3 point underdogs at home?

      Texans/Colts line is too high, I think that game is a shootout, something like 35-31 Colts. Houston's offense has been to good for that many points.

      Gimme the Packers, because the Bucs suck.

      And I'm taking a sixth because I can't leave that 49ers/Titans game alone. San Fran hung with the Colts last week and now they're playing one of the worst teams in football at home. With that defense against Vince Young I'll take the Niners.
      Last edited by yo123; 11-04-2009, 02:21 AM.

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      • #18
        Originally posted by MetSox17 View Post
        I'm liking Houston, Seattle, Cincinnati and Green Bay.
        I'm probably gonna put in a 4-game parlay with this ^^, and then put twice the amount i put on the parlay on Green Bay -10 against Tampa. Sounds like it makes sense.

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        • #19
          Parlay bets are really stupid to make. It's great when you get lucky and it's that hole in 1 shot. The safer bet is just to make each bet and if you hit 3 out of 4, you get 2x your money back instead of losing it all because of one freak game.

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          • #20
            Redskins @ Falcons (-10)
            Packers (-10) @ Buccaneers
            Titans @ 49ers (-4)

            If I was a betting man, these wold be 3 easy picks to make.

            Steelers (-3) @ Broncos - The Steelers are playing well and I think they will easily cover the spread.

            Chiefs (+6.5) @ Jaguars - Jacksonville is not that much better than KC.

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            • #21
              Texans +9 @ Colts : Texans to beat the spread if not win. The 9ers showed the Colts can be had, disguised their pass rush vs Indy & gave Manning fits, threw him off his game bigtime. The Colts pass blocking isn't the same as before, they had to sub an UDFA o-linemen to keep Manning upright thru 4 qtrs. Houston s/b studying the SF game videos, they have enough defensive talent to do the same.

              Redskins @ Falcons (-10) : Atlanta can cover 10 points on the Redskins, no o-line, no QB, no secondary, now now TE. Hey, that Dan Snyder can sure build a contender can't he?

              Titans @ 49ers (-4) : Tennessee on a roll of.... uhh, one win. The 9ers lost Clements to a broken shoulderblade + an OL starter last wk vs indy, both out 6 wks.

              Packers -10 @ Buccaneers : No pick. Be careful here, GB will win but they can't protect Rodgers worth a damn.

              Too bad Cleveland is off this wk. Whoever they play next with whatever the spread, Cleveland will tank. Their idiot owner fired everybody this wk. in their FO but Mangini, guarantees they will beat the Lions, Rams or Tampa to the #1 pick. St. Louis is now only the 2nd most demoralized team in the NFL.
              Last edited by LizardState; 11-04-2009, 11:13 AM.

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              • #22
                Texans +9 @ Colts - Texans always play the Colts hard and they have the O to keep up.


                Cardinals +3 @ Bears

                The Cards have a decent chance to WIN without the points yeah it is in the windy city but I don't trust the bears secondary.

                Lions +10 @ Seahawks

                Homer throwing money away but Lofa is out I think Walter Jones is out if Truf is out and Calvin is back they should keep it close.

                Titans +4 @ 49ers

                CJ = MJ

                Steelers -3 @ Broncos

                Although they play well the steelers O-Line is going to have real trouble against DOOM! which means that the Steelers will have to keep guys in and lets not forget Champ and B-Dawk in the secondary.
                Stafford Sig by touchdownrams the rest of the sig by Sig Master Bone Krusher Avy by King of all avys renji


                DEATH NOTE MAFIA SIGNUP!

                Originally posted by njx9
                oh please. as if canadians even know what beer is.

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                • #23
                  Be bold. Win big. Parlay the Falcons & Packers.

                  Redskins +10 @ Falcons - I will be shocked if this one doesn't climb to 14.5 by gameday. Skins in the Georgia dome without Cooley who has been their most consistent weapon - it's going to be ugly.

                  Packers -10 @ Buccaneers - Buccs are so bad they won't be able to capitalize on the bye week.

                  Chiefs +6.5 @ Jaguars - The Chiefs are not very good and MJD should tear them up.

                  Lions +10 @ Seahawks - Nothing fixes a team's problems like a date with the Lions. See: Rams, St. Louis.

                  Dolphins +10.5 @ Patriots - 2 big wins where Brady looked like his old self again to boost confidence and a bye week . . . yeah, the Phins won't keep this one close.


                  Just for the fun of it, here are my picks on the rest:
                  Cardinals +3 @ Bears
                  Panthers +13.5 @ Saints
                  Titans +4 @ 49ers
                  Chargers +4.5 @ Giants
                  Cowboys +3 @ Eagles
                  Steelers -3 @ Broncos
                  Ravens -3 @ Bungles
                  Texans +9 @ Colts

                  Sig img shamelessly stolen from teh interwebs

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                  • #24
                    I think the Phins game is a trap. The Phins made the Colts into a less than a touchdown game I think they can do the same to the pats as well.
                    Stafford Sig by touchdownrams the rest of the sig by Sig Master Bone Krusher Avy by King of all avys renji


                    DEATH NOTE MAFIA SIGNUP!

                    Originally posted by njx9
                    oh please. as if canadians even know what beer is.

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                    • #25
                      Originally posted by broth223 View Post
                      I think the Phins game is a trap. The Phins made the Colts into a less than a touchdown game I think they can do the same to the pats as well.
                      I think they can, but with NE coming off the bye I don't think they will.

                      But, fwiw, I only think the Falcons & Packers are true locks. The thread forced me to pick 5. ;)

                      Sig img shamelessly stolen from teh interwebs

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                      • #26
                        Originally posted by tuan33 View Post
                        Parlay bets are really stupid to make. It's great when you get lucky and it's that hole in 1 shot. The safer bet is just to make each bet and if you hit 3 out of 4, you get 2x your money back instead of losing it all because of one freak game.
                        I'm betting small on parlays. Three weeks in a row i've hit three teamers, so it isn't as difficult as you're saying. Plus, if you're that unsure about it go with a progressive. It's the same deal.

                        When you're pretty confident on a few games, getting 6:1, 10:1 and 25:1 on your money is too good to pass up.

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                        • #27
                          Originally posted by FlyingElvis
                          Dolphins +10.5 @ Patriots - 2 big wins where Brady looked like his old self again to boost confidence and a bye week . . . yeah, the Phins won't keep this one close.
                          He played possibly the two worst secondaries in the NFL.

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                          • #28
                            Originally posted by yo123 View Post
                            He played possibly the two worst secondaries in the NFL.
                            I didn't mean he looked like his old self in terms of stats. He was missing badly on his passes downfield through the first 4 games regardless of DB quality. In the last 2 games he was on target again.

                            Sig img shamelessly stolen from teh interwebs

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                            • #29
                              Originally posted by yo123 View Post
                              He played possibly the two worst secondaries in the NFL.
                              Tampa Bay actually has the better pass defense than Miami. Tampa's is ranked 15th against the pass and Miami is ranked 21st against the pass.

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                              • #30
                                Originally posted by P-L View Post
                                Tampa Bay actually has the better pass defense than Miami. Tampa's is ranked 15th against the pass and Miami is ranked 21st against the pass.

                                Hmmmm...I was under the impression that Tampa's secondary was terrible. Some of that can be contributed to the fact that Tampa is always behind and teams don't have to throw on them late though.

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