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diabsoule 08-26-2012 10:54 AM

Hurricane Isaac
 
Guys, I don't know how much ya'll have been paying attention but there's a tropical system that is now being predicted to follow an almost identical path as Katrina did in 2005. It's expecting to make landfall either Tuesday night or Wednesday morning.

While meteorologist have identified the storm as being particularly hard to predict, the spaghetti models have now all shifted the storm west meaning that most predict it to basically go up the mouth of the Mississippi River or as far east as Biloxi, MS - basically a difference of around 50 miles, give or take.

I'm experiencing a grand case of deja vu right now and I'm not ******* happy about it. You can follow the storm track here:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical..._ensmodel.html


StickSkills 08-26-2012 10:59 AM

From what I can tell, it's not nearly as strong as Katrina though. That's not to say the damage isn't going to be devastating.

UKfan 08-26-2012 11:03 AM

Is there a history of storms / hurricanes heading up that way? Just wondered if this was all a new phenomenon. Anyway I hope it turns out to be nothing.

jrdrylie 08-26-2012 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StickSkills (Post 3098772)
From what I can tell, it's not nearly as strong as Katrina though. That's not to say the damage isn't going to be devastating.

It's not as strong as Katrina yet. But once it goes through the warm waters of the gulf, it will get stronger. Hopefully not as strong as Katrina, but it will likely hit land as a medium sized Category 3.

vidae 08-26-2012 11:15 AM

Ugh, For all of our LA residents, stay safe.

StickSkills 08-26-2012 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vidae (Post 3098781)
Ugh, For all of our LA residents, stay safe.

Yeah, screw those in Alabama and Mississippi.

diabsoule 08-26-2012 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UKfan (Post 3098775)
Is there a history of storms / hurricanes heading up that way? Just wondered if this was all a new phenomenon. Anyway I hope it turns out to be nothing.

Since 2000 there has been 4 major storms that have impacted Louisiana so, no, this isn't really new. 2008 - Gustav, 2005 Katrina & Rita, 2002 - Lili.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jrdrylie (Post 3098776)
It's not as strong as Katrina yet. But once it goes through the warm waters of the gulf, it will get stronger. Hopefully not as strong as Katrina, but it will likely hit land as a medium sized Category 3.

Right now, the professionals are expecting it to be reach Category 2 levels (96-110mph) but that's just pure speculation since the Gulf of Mexico has yet to be disturbed by a storm this year. Also, the Gulf is hotter than average which increases the probability of the storm increasing in strength. Isaac has the potential to become stronger than a Category 2 but nothing is known for certain yet.

vidae 08-26-2012 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StickSkills (Post 3098785)
Yeah, screw those in Alabama and Mississippi.

Agreed. 10char

Bert Macklin 08-26-2012 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vidae (Post 3098781)
Ugh, For all of our LA residents, stay safe.

Projected Category 2. WE READY!




Brent 08-26-2012 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StickSkills (Post 3098785)
Yeah, screw those in Alabama and Mississippi.

It's a well-known fact that people in Mississippi are uneducated and don't have internet.

nepg 08-26-2012 01:39 PM

I lived in Biloxi for some time. This is just a Cat2/3. The difference in levels of devastation between a Cat3 and a Cat4 is immense, and going from that to a Cat5 (Katrina) is another ridiculous jump in destruction levels. It'll take about a week to clear up most of the mess. Storms this size really aren't that big of a deal down there.

I mean, it still really sucks because some people are going to have their homes/property trashed and there's potential for casualties. Don't get me wrong, some people are going to have their **** turned upside down and it sucks. It's just no where near what Katrina was...

jayceheathman 08-26-2012 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UKfan (Post 3098775)
Is there a history of storms / hurricanes heading up that way? Just wondered if this was all a new phenomenon. Anyway I hope it turns out to be nothing.

Yeah there is and especially if the storm enters the Gulf of Mexico. The waters there are extremely warm and give the storm a lot of strength to keep going. New Orleans is a city below sea level in the first place so it is asking for disaster. Houston usually gets the end of the storm since the city is about 80 miles inland and storms weaken as they hit land.

diabsoule 08-26-2012 05:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nepg (Post 3098948)
I lived in Biloxi for some time. This is just a Cat2/3. The difference in levels of devastation between a Cat3 and a Cat4 is immense, and going from that to a Cat5 (Katrina) is another ridiculous jump in destruction levels. It'll take about a week to clear up most of the mess. Storms this size really aren't that big of a deal down there.

I mean, it still really sucks because some people are going to have their homes/property trashed and there's potential for casualties. Don't get me wrong, some people are going to have their **** turned upside down and it sucks. It's just no where near what Katrina was...

Katrina made landfall as a Cat 3 w/ 125mph winds.

The path has moved for Isaac. NOLA is firmly in the crosshairs.

It's expected to be a strong Cat 2 when it lands


vikes_28 08-26-2012 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by njx9 (Post 3099171)
hopefully the storm surge is low and people actually evac properly this time.

I don't think people will take that chance after Katrina. I went to NOLA and did mission work after Katrina hit. It was pretty bad in some places.

Brent 08-26-2012 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vikes_28 (Post 3099185)
I don't think people will take that chance after Katrina. I went to NOLA and did mission work after Katrina hit. It was pretty bad in some places.

you underestimate the stupidity of people.

Quote:

Originally Posted by njx9 (Post 3099171)
hopefully the storm surge is low and people actually evac properly this time.

true, but that is rarely the case.

fenikz 08-26-2012 06:50 PM

Illegals could always use some work rebuilding it again

jballa838 08-26-2012 06:52 PM

So this was just updated to a Cat 3 as it hits land now? Great.

tjsunstein 08-26-2012 07:22 PM

For those in the path, please be safe.

diabsoule 08-26-2012 09:11 PM

There's already been a mandatory evacuation called for one of the parishes in the area. Gov. Jindal, no matter your thoughts on him, Mayor Landrieu of New Orleans, and the local politicians aren't ******* around. They're taking all the proper precautions and are going to try and get people out before the 11th hour.

A state of emergency has been declared for the states of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Because the storm keeps inching westward it looks like it's going to New Orleans. I hope I'm wrong but that's what it looks like right now.

I just finished getting hurricane supplies because the last time a Category 2 hit I was without power for 2 weeks.

diabsoule 08-26-2012 10:08 PM

New trajectory has the storm hitting to the west of New Orleans which isn't good AT ALL. It means the storm surge, strongest wind and rain will lash NOLA with impunity.


brat316 08-26-2012 10:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by diabsoule (Post 3099155)
Katrina made landfall as a Cat 3 w/ 125mph winds.

The path has moved for Isaac. NOLA is firmly in the crosshairs.

It's expected to be a strong Cat 2 when it lands

LOL Katrina was 6th strongest hurricane in the Atlantic.

Winds of 175.

Yeah, you are correct it made landfall at Cat 3, but it was a Cat 5 and then lost steam, and made land fall.

Bert Macklin 08-26-2012 10:58 PM

This happens every time LSU opens the season with North Texas. ****!

jayceheathman 08-27-2012 12:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by njx9 (Post 3099171)
hopefully the storm surge is low and people actually evac properly this time.

Everyone had freaked out over Katrina. I remember when the next hurricane was projected to come near Houston that everyone freaked out and they all used the freeways instead of the side roads to head north to Dallas. There was so much traffic that people sat on the freeways for days and some people died from the heat once they ran out of gas. Quite a bit of people got arrested for selling gas for $100 a gallon.

Brent 08-27-2012 05:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bert Macklin (Post 3099781)
This happens every time LSU opens the season with North Texas. ****!

well, that hurricane is UNT's best player.

Bert Macklin 08-27-2012 09:47 AM

























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