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Old 11-08-2009, 05:40 PM    (permalink
MetSox17
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Can't believe i didn't bet on the Falcons. Everyone was calling it.
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Old 11-08-2009, 05:49 PM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by MetSox17 View Post
Can't believe i didn't bet on the Falcons. Everyone was calling it.
As an NFC East fan you should know better than anyone jut how terrible washington is.
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JPP is a better and more productive player than Brandon Graham
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Is Shaun Hill a top 10 QB? Definitely not. Is he a top 20 one? Almost certainly.
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Most misleading 10+ sack season EVER.
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Old 11-08-2009, 05:58 PM    (permalink
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As an NFC East fan you should know better than anyone jut how terrible washington is.
I just didn't think the Falcons were gonna blow them out, they have a pathetic defense, and Matt Ryan came back down to earth.
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Old 11-08-2009, 07:56 PM    (permalink
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Panthers - +13.5 is huge. They got the run game going last week and I think theyl be able to establish that presence against New Orleans aswell.

Broncos +3 - Undefeated team at home plus points? I'll take that everyday.

Dolphins +10.5 - The Dolphins will run the ball all day to keep Brady and company off the field, similar to what they did to the Colts. Pats win, but not by 10.

Giants -4.5 - I like the Giants to rebound and have a big win over San Diego.

Bengals +3 - I like the bengals to beat a suspect Ravens secondary. That defense can't stop Palmer and company at home.
3-1 so far with MNF to go.
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Old 11-09-2009, 11:27 AM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by MetSox17 View Post
Can't believe i didn't bet on the Falcons. Everyone was calling it.
Everyone was calling the Packers, too. See my first line below . . . ;)


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Originally Posted by FlyingElvis View Post
Be bold. Win big. Parlay the Falcons & Packers.

Redskins +10 @ Falcons - I will be shocked if this one doesn't climb to 14.5 by gameday. Skins in the Georgia dome without Cooley who has been their most consistent weapon - it's going to be ugly.

Packers -10 @ Buccaneers - Buccs are so bad they won't be able to capitalize on the bye week.

Chiefs +6.5 @ Jaguars - The Chiefs are not very good and MJD should tear them up.

Lions +10 @ Seahawks - Nothing fixes a team's problems like a date with the Lions. See: Rams, St. Louis.

Dolphins +10.5 @ Patriots - 2 big wins where Brady looked like his old self again to boost confidence and a bye week . . . yeah, the Phins won't keep this one close.


Just for the fun of it, here are my picks on the rest:
Cardinals +3 @ Bears
Panthers +13.5 @ Saints
Titans +4 @ 49ers
Chargers +4.5 @ Giants
Cowboys +3 @ Eagles
Steelers -3 @ Broncos
Ravens -3 @ Bungles
Texans +9 @ Colts
2 for 5 in my top 5. 3 for 7 in the others, too. Even if I'm right on the Steelers game I wouldn't break even. Which is probably why, when it comes to gambling establishments, Elvis left the building a few years back and doesn't plan to return.
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Old 11-09-2009, 12:01 PM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by broth223 View Post
Texans +9 @ Colts - Texans always play the Colts hard and they have the O to keep up.


Cardinals +3 @ Bears

The Cards have a decent chance to WIN without the points yeah it is in the windy city but I don't trust the bears secondary.

Lions +10 @ Seahawks

Homer throwing money away but Lofa is out I think Walter Jones is out if Truf is out and Calvin is back they should keep it close.

Titans +4 @ 49ers

CJ = MJ

Steelers -3 @ Broncos

Although they play well the steelers O-Line is going to have real trouble against DOOM! which means that the Steelers will have to keep guys in and lets not forget Champ and B-Dawk in the secondary.
3 out of 4 with the only loss being due to a INT for TD in the final seconds.
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oh please. as if canadians even know what beer is.
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Old 11-09-2009, 02:10 PM    (permalink
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This was not a good weekend... **** you Packers. **** you.
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Old 11-09-2009, 02:13 PM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by roscoesdad27 View Post
put your scratch on these.

i do unit bets using $25 units...current lines per sportsbook.

baltimore -3...3 units ($75)
the ravens are undefeated with gaither playing....plus the defense seems to have gotten their swagger back, bad news for benson....statement game.

s.f. -4...1 unit ($25)
i like the s.f. run defense led by p. willy against a titans team that is heavily reliant on the run...its worth some action.

s.f./tenn UNDER 40.5....3 units ($75)
i dont think tenn score more than 10 points and s.f. isnt going to excactly light it up either.

dallas ML (+120)...1 unit ($25)
a lil scratch on the premier game...picking dallas to win str8 up 25 against 30.

pitt/denver UNDER 40...2 units ($50)
i like how both defenses match up...denvers pass defense matches up perfectly with the steelers scheme and pitts run defense is bad news for a denver team that loves to run the ball.
This made me feel slightly better though. Good luck tonight man, you need it.
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Old 11-09-2009, 02:20 PM    (permalink
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And this is why I no longer am allowed to gamble. Would've put most of my money on Green Bay, then won most of it back with the other games and then put big money on Philly to get me back in the black for the week, which would guarantee Dallas gets the W.
lol, I know how this gambling thing works to screw me entirely to well. And with me no longer playing poker to cover any football loses things would get out of hand.
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JPP is a better and more productive player than Brandon Graham
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Is Shaun Hill a top 10 QB? Definitely not. Is he a top 20 one? Almost certainly.
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Most misleading 10+ sack season EVER.
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Old 11-10-2009, 11:09 PM    (permalink
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Can anyone give me a reason why I shouldn't take New Orleans -13.5 over St. Louis this week?
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Old 11-10-2009, 11:20 PM    (permalink
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Can anyone give me a reason why I shouldn't take New Orleans -13.5 over St. Louis this week?
Saints have not covered against the spread I believe the past 2 weeks. Lately they have shown a tendency to turn the ball over early in games, which leads to the opposition generating favorable field position.

We're still trying to cope with the losses of our starting 2 Defensive Tackles, Sedrick Ellis will be out for a few more weeks, and we've also been without our starting SLB Fujita...and as a result we've had issues vs. the run. Turner 151 yards, 1 TD vs. Atlanta, & DeAngelo Williams 149 yards, 2 TD vs. Carolina. Rams RB, Steven Jackson is tied for 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards with 784 yards, averaging 4.8 YPC, although only 1 TD on the year. Although I'm hopeful we'll have Fujita back this week, have to check the injury report later in the week.

I'm not expecting the Saints to lose this game, but in all honesty despite how bad the Rams have been... if we keep having the turnover issues early in games it might keep the game closer then it has to be... but then again I'm more pessimistic then most fans.
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Old 11-10-2009, 11:27 PM    (permalink
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Haven't made picks yet, but I like...

Denver -3.5 @ Washington

New Orleans -13.5 @St. Louis

Atlanta -1.5
@ Carolina

Philadelphia +2.5 @ San Diego

Baltimore -11 @ Cleveland
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Old 11-10-2009, 11:49 PM    (permalink
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Can anyone give me a reason why I shouldn't take New Orleans -13.5 over St. Louis this week?
They are on top of the world right now. Regardless of what your coaches tell you, you do not enter a game like this with the same intensity and focus you do for other contests.

And Steven Jackson. He's a nightmare matchup for those OLBs coming out of the backfield and will pound between the tackles all game. Turner/D. Williams exposed their run defense. Even if the Saints win easily, I could definitely see a backdoor cover on a late touchdown drive. Remember, these terrible teams don't care how much they are down by, they will drive to score down by 20 with 25 seconds left if they can just to shed some light on another loss.
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Old 11-10-2009, 11:50 PM    (permalink
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And if you want it, take it now. It'll be 14 or 15 by Sunday probably.
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Old 11-10-2009, 11:52 PM    (permalink
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What about Miami -10 over the Bucs? The Bucs run D is terrible and I could see the Miami wildcat running all over them.

I still think Tampa might be the worst team in the league.

Thinking about a 3 team teaser with the Saints, Dolphins, and Cowboys. Something will probably go wrong there though.

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Old 11-11-2009, 12:42 PM    (permalink
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Here are some I think....

Some suspected blowouts
1. Detroit (+17) @ Minnesota
Detroit is awful, and Minnesota will beat them, but by 17 points, I don't think so. I am going by just 14 points.

2. Baltimore (-11) @ Cleveland
Cleveland is a mess. I think they are going to get embarassed on MNF, something like 24-0 or something like that. Why the **** is this game on MNF?

3. New Orleans (-13.5) @ St. Louis
New Orleans is really good, we are really bad= at least a 14 point victory for the undebeatable Saints.

My "Close, Ballsy" game pick
4. Dallas (-3) @ Green Bay
I know it is cold weather and all that, but Tony Romo is returning back home and I think he will put on a show.

My super uber duber lock....
5. Denver (-3.5) @ Washington
How the **** is this only at 3.5? Washington is terrible.

Just for shits and giggles, the rest of the picks.....
Chicago @ San Francisco (-3)
Jacksonville (+6.5) @ NY Jets
Cincinnati (+7) @ Pittsburgh, I think Pittsburgh will win it, but by a field goal or 4 points or something like that.
Buffalo @ Tennessee (-6.5)
Atlanta (-1.5) @ Carolina, This was a contender for the super uber lock, but Carolina > Washington.
Tampa Bay (+10) @ Miami, Still like the Dolphins to win, but by single digits. Miami isn't a team that blows people out.
Kansas City (+2) @ Oakland
Seattle @ Arizona (-8.5), This was one of the harder ones, not sure if I like picking Arizona by that many.
Philadelphia (+2.5) @ San Diego
New England (+3) @ Indianapolis
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Old 11-11-2009, 01:51 PM    (permalink
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I can't believe you just picked Detroit as a lock of the week Yoda haha. But that game is probably a stay away for me. We play down to our competition more than we should.

Here's mine

Vikings (-17) over Lions
Ravens (-11) over Browns
Saints (-13.5) over Rams
Cowboys (-3) over Packers
Broncos (-3.5, WTF?) over Redskins
49ers (-3) over Bears
Jaguars (+6.5) over Jets
Bengals (+7) over Steelers
Bills (+6.5) over Titans
Panthers (+1.5) over Falcons
Dolphins (-10) over Bucs
Chiefs (+2) over Raiders
Cardinals (-8.5) over Seahawks
Chargers (-2.5) over Eagles
Colts (-3) over Patriots


Bolded are locks.

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Old 11-11-2009, 02:57 PM    (permalink
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Thinking about a 3 team teaser with the Saints, Dolphins, and Cowboys. Something will probably go wrong there though.
Why not do a 3 team tease w/the Patriots (+3), Bengals (+7) & Eagles (+2.5)?


That's 3 of the better teams in the league @ 11 points, 11 points & a whopping 15 for the Bengals who have already beaten Pitt once.

(taking the point off each line since you can't push a tease)
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Old 11-11-2009, 03:49 PM    (permalink
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If the Broncos are only a 3.5 point favorite, it's probably for a reason. I'm not trusting Denver or Kyle Orton to get into a high scoring game with the Redskins. Three of the last four games, Washington has put up 17 points, and the past two games for Denver their highest scoring output was 10. They only scored 7 coming off a bye against Baltimore. I wouldn't trust it.
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Old 11-11-2009, 04:28 PM    (permalink
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If the Broncos are only a 3.5 point favorite, it's probably for a reason. I'm not trusting Denver or Kyle Orton to get into a high scoring game with the Redskins. Three of the last four games, Washington has put up 17 points, and the past two games for Denver their highest scoring output was 10. They only scored 7 coming off a bye against Baltimore. I wouldn't trust it.
Until they at least pretend to make some downfield attempts I'd say you're dead on. Just bet the under and rake in the dough.
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Old 11-11-2009, 05:03 PM    (permalink
MetSox17
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Until they at least pretend to make some downfield attempts I'd say you're dead on. Just bet the under and rake in the dough.
O/U is 37.5

Don't know how i feel about that yet.

What about the Bungles though? Man they get nooo love from Vegas. If by some reason the line moves to 7.5, that would be my lock of the week.
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Old 11-11-2009, 05:08 PM    (permalink
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It's two teams with good D and weak O. Like you said - Wash has put up 17 in the last few games and Denver struggles to put up 10. So how is this the game where they go for over 17 each?


But hey, I was 6 for 13 in last weeks picks so take it with a grain of salt.
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Old 11-11-2009, 06:49 PM    (permalink
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LOL, yeah, this past weekend wasn't good for me, so i'm being extra careful with what i say. But, a 21-17 game doesn't seem too far-fetched, so :/
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Old 11-12-2009, 08:18 AM    (permalink
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So I was looking at these teaser bets you guys were going on about and it appeals to me big time tbh. Being in the UK though is it easy to join an American site and transfer money easily? I've seen a couple of games I'd love to lump on with the teasers. Looked at sportinteraction.com but when I go to deposit money they have to send me a text or something with a verification code, anyone know if it's legit? Might try bodog too, I think they're american and they sponsor Fulham.
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Old 11-12-2009, 11:09 AM    (permalink
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I can't believe you just picked Detroit as a lock of the week Yoda haha. But that game is probably a stay away for me. We play down to our competition more than we should.
I think once a team gets over a 14 point favorite thats a little much for me. Last year the score was 12-10 or something like that. But I do like the Vikings to win.
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