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Old 07-28-2010, 03:34 AM    (permalink
BlindSite
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Default BlindSite's NFL "something original other than truths" Thread

Kansas City
Every year there comes a team that had no success the previous year that surprises almost everyone except their loyal fans. That team this year will be Kansas City. Though they had one of the earliest picks in the draft - a combination of maturation of talent on the offensive line, the backfield and the addition of some defensive help, the Chiefs will find a perfect storm of finding form, weakest projected schedule in the NFL and a lack of division competition. They won't knock off San Diego but they should be right in the mix for a wild card berth.

The defensive backfield is developing quickly, the offensive line found some form late in the year and Matt Cassel should be able to build on his performance last year with some adequate help from the running game.

The schedule is what makes this year theirs. The benefit of playing the 22nd strongest schedule in the NFL should aide their campaign greatly.

Cowboys shouldn't be anointed just yet
The Cowboys seem to be the paper champs of the NFC East the addition of Dez Bryant, the health of three solid young running backs and the perceived weaknesses of their divisional rivals put together a coherent argument.

Consider for a moment. When has Wade Philips had his team live up to their billing? When have the running backs remained healthy for 16 games? When has Romo taken that step he's been predicted to take every year (though I will say he is a solid Quarterback). This brings me to my next point.

The offensive line is old, it's injury prone and it's struggled to keep everyone upright and where they should be last year. Flozell Adams gave up 34 pressures and allowed Romo to be sacked 8 times and hit a further 7 and it's not exactly accurate to say Doug Free is a huge upgrade with his limited action in the LT spot. I'm not saying Free will fail, but there's not a lot of evidence to suggest he'll be the team's saviour. The right tackle spot was swapped and changed depending on health and the week, the interior didn't fare much better.

The Cowboys likely have some of the pieces to overcome these issues, Romo can run and throw, the wide receivers match up favourably with any team in the NFL as do the running backs and receiving ends, but with such a difficult schedule and such a difficult division it's hard to see the team gaining such lofty status as some expect.

The coaching staff must find a consistent game plan a problem for years in Dallas if they're to find an offensive rhythm.

They may win their division with that pass rush and offense, anything is possible, but facing the Vikings or Green bay or New Orleans in the playoffs is going to be a huge challenge.


Homer Prediction
Carolina sit with one of the easiest schedules in the NFL with one of the best running games, offensive lines and running back tandems in the NFL. It's not a stretch to suggest they've got possible wins against:
Tampa x2
Atlanta x1
Cincinnati
Chicago
san Francisco
st louis
Cleveland
Arizona
Seattle

Even if you call a split between the 4 toughest games in that sample, it's an 8-8 season.

As a purely statistic projection if Moore had his stats last season projected over the course of an entire 16 games he'd do something that hasn't been done since 2001: 272 of 441 (61%) for 3369 25 TD for 6 INTs. He might not reach the heights, but he's shown some significant flashes in 8 games and enters his 3rd year in the offense. It's a recipe for at least passable success.

I'm not saying the Panthers will make the playoffs or that Matt Moore is going to be an All-Pro but I wouldn't count this team out as dead just yet.

Homer Continued
Fox is almost certainly gone, so-called inside sources (could be a mail boy for all we know), has said 100% he's gone regardless of performance. Jeff Davidson is the likely choice to take over, he comes from the Belichick tree, has shown excellent ability coaching the offense the past few years and seems to have the “players’ coach type attitude”.


The Texans
Houston seems to perennially be on the cusp.

Schaub, Johnson, Super Mario, Cushing; the list of their elite talent shows they've drafted increasingly well and seemingly should be able to match up with the immense talent they face each year. Funnily enough it never seems to be enough and they're consistently considered to be the next dark horse contender.

The lines still need some work on both sides of the ball and their projected schedule predicts some rocky times ahead, a lack of clear leadership from the HC position also seems to be a consistent detriment to the team. This may be a make or break year for Kubiak and it'll be interesting to see where a new coach and another year's FA and draft could see the team in 2011. They'll come close, but it's not their year.

Players with the potential for massive years

Michael Turner faded away a little bit last year, but not through lack of production, though he dipped under 1,000 yards he managed 10 touchdowns and 4.9ypc and only fizzled due to an injury cutting short his season.

Playing in the NFC:S means he's going to run into 6 games with less than stellar run defenses. It's not a stretch to expect he at least equals his 2008 totals, which given Atlantas schedule he should steam roll. He's my outside pick for the rushing title this year.

Vincent Jackson won't be missed as a burner or as a red zone target so much as he'll be missed, should he hold out, as the chain mover. Antonio Gates gets a lot of props for his ability to convert for first down, but VJax had over 80% of his catches in 09 go for first down, which is insanely consistent chain moving prowess.

Enter Legedy Naanee, and Malcom Floyd though neither of these guys are house hold names both have shown solid hands and the ability to get open down field. The release of Chambers at the very least allowed Floyd more attention in the pass happy offense and although he's not as good as Jackson in any particular area he's got a 6-5 frame and deceptive deep speed which should be conducive to high production in the Chargers offense should Jackson miss significant time.

AFC East is anyone's guess

The Jets are the consensus pick after a strong year in 09 and debate abounds on Matt Sanchez' future (more on that to follow). The only thing we know is that there's questions on the Jets offense, Miami's defense and all around various aspects of New England.

The only thing we know is that all three will be competitive, when it comes down a crapshoot I'd err on the side of caution and bet on the team with the best quarterback and coaching staff. My pick is New England by one game with the Jets earning a Wildcard berth.

Sanchez's first year has been compared to everyone from Elway to Manning to Russell, and it's safe to say that rookie QBs flat out stink. They're not ready, they're not up to speed, don't know the offense well enough and don't recognise defensive patterns to be truly effective. Give Sanchez two years before he's anointed or condemned.

Coaches fired / Not Re-hired at the end of the season:
Chan Gailey
Lovie Smith
John Fox
Jack Del Rio
Wade Philips

Next HC to be promoted from the ranks:
Brian Schottenheimer

On The Clock:
Buffalo, 0-6 in their division almost without a shadow of a doubt. The team is still relatively inept in a lot of areas and a most of their talent is beginning to waste away in a sea of inadequacy in the supporting cast.

Chan Gailey is gone at the end of the year in my mind, hopefully they find someone to be their saviour, though with all the attraction of playing or coaching in Buffalo, I won't hold my breath.

The Detroit Lions remind me of the Texans a few years ago, bottom of their division behind a couple of solid units. A glimmer of hope at quarterback, receiver and growing talent in the trenches. They're not great, but they've got some pieces beginning to fall into place. I think they'll finish third above the Bears who're fielding an incredibly weak offensive line, yet another new offense and big questions in the secondary.

Final standings playoffs:

NFC S: New Orleans (hard to pick against them)
NFC E: Dallas (Hard to pick against them in their division in spite of their issues.
NFC W: 49ers
NFC N: Minnesota

Wildcard: Atlanta / Carolina
Green bay

NFC S rep in the championship game: Green bay

AFC W: San Diego
AFC S: Colts
AFC N: Ravens
AFC E: New England

Wildcard:
Kansas City, NYJ

AFC rep in the big one: Baltimore
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Old 07-28-2010, 05:30 AM    (permalink
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Chan Gailey won't be fired and the Jets are not that good.

They're still the 3rd best team in the division. If it weren't for what should be a hangable offense (tanking), the Jets don't even make the playoffs and according to most NFL power rankings, they are not even in the top 15 (Before the Colts gave the Jets the game, they were 19th on ESPN and 17th on CBS).

When the Jets O struggles because their running game is a 1 back system (draft shonn greene high in fantasy fyi), their defense will spend large amounts of time on the field. They'll lose games in the 4th... that is if Sanchez can manage to not throw 5 INTs.

The only reason the Dolphins might be 3rd best is because their DL is now falling apart on a daily basis.

I basically agree with the rest, except I have the Raiders winning the AFC West.
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Old 07-28-2010, 06:21 AM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by descendency View Post
Chan Gailey won't be fired and the Jets are not that good.

They're still the 3rd best team in the division. If it weren't for what should be a hangable offense (tanking), the Jets don't even make the playoffs and according to most NFL power rankings, they are not even in the top 15 (Before the Colts gave the Jets the game, they were 19th on ESPN and 17th on CBS).

When the Jets O struggles because their running game is a 1 back system (draft shonn greene high in fantasy fyi), their defense will spend large amounts of time on the field. They'll lose games in the 4th... that is if Sanchez can manage to not throw 5 INTs.

The only reason the Dolphins might be 3rd best is because their DL is now falling apart on a daily basis.

I basically agree with the rest, except I have the Raiders winning the AFC West.
I have the raiders getting the number one pick in the draft.............
A man can hope right?
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Old 07-28-2010, 06:23 AM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by Jvig43 View Post
I have the raiders getting the number one pick in the draft.............
A man can hope right?
if Jason Campbell and Bruce Gradkowski start hanging out with Sergio Kindle. The Raiders might have to bail out JaMarcus Russell :D
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Old 07-28-2010, 07:49 AM    (permalink
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Prediction: Kubiak joins John Fox in the unemployment line. Their elite level talent isn't that high. The four you mentioned and I would be close to putting Owen Daniels in that level. But after that it's not very good. Their defense sucks. It's time for everyone to jump back off the Texans bandwagon.
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Old 07-28-2010, 07:53 AM    (permalink
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NFC S: New Orleans
NFC E: New York
NFC W: 49ers
NFC N: Green Bay
Wildcard: Atlanta / Minnesota
Super Bowl: Dolphins v Giants 24 to 17 dolphins win!
AFC W: Raiders
AFC S: Colts
AFC N: Ravens
AFC E: Dolphins
Wildcard: Bengals / Broncos
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Old 07-28-2010, 08:00 AM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by Joecool View Post
NFC S: New Orleans
NFC E: New York
NFC W: 49ers
NFC N: Green Bay
Wildcard: Atlanta / Minnesota
Super Bowl: Dolphins v Giants 24 to 17 dolphins win!
AFC W: Raiders
AFC S: Colts
AFC N: Ravens
AFC E: Dolphins
Wildcard: Bengals / Broncos
Only one NFC East team, and one AFC East team (Dolphins?). Sure to be wrong but it's original, I'll give you that.
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Old 07-28-2010, 09:03 AM    (permalink
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Sure to be wrong
I don't think that's fair to say. Predicting those fringe playoff teams is ******* impossible.
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Old 07-28-2010, 09:19 AM    (permalink
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Romo didnt take a huge step forward last year? Come on now. He was one of the most efficient QBs in the league. He eliminated the turnovers (Single digit interceptions and a career low, 6 fumbles) and his decision making vastly improved. Tony is an elite QB in this league...just give him time and he'll make good things happen. There in lies a potential problem, though...I cant sit here and say I have 100% confidence in our pass protection.

But honestly, Romo is a stud and he really elevated his already great play last season...and he played fantastic football down the stretch as well. 9 TDs to 2 Ints in December. We have a Super Bowl caliber QB, we may not have the line, though. I dont care who the QB was last season...they werent winning that game against Minnesota. Their rushers were in the backfield at the snap.
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Old 07-28-2010, 09:31 AM    (permalink
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Romo didnt take a huge step forward last year? Come on now. He was one of the most efficient QBs in the league. He eliminated the turnovers (Single digit interceptions and a career low, 6 fumbles) and his decision making vastly improved. Tony is an elite QB in this league...just give him time and he'll make good things happen. There in lies a potential problem, though...I cant sit here and say I have 100% confidence in our pass protection.

But honestly, Romo is a stud and he really elevated his already great play last season...and he played fantastic football down the stretch as well. 9 TDs to 2 Ints in December. We have a Super Bowl caliber QB, we may not have the line, though. I dont care who the QB was last season...they werent winning that game against Minnesota. Their rushers were in the backfield at the snap.
An elite QB would have varied up his snap calls to keep the D line guessing... just sayin'
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Old 07-28-2010, 09:40 AM    (permalink
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An elite QB would have varied up his snap calls to keep the D line guessing... just sayin'
Pftt...nothing was working. Romo gets plenty of freedom at the line, and he frequently audibles and hot routes and what not. Our line was completely dominated from start to finish...nothing would have made a difference. Colombo was probably rushed back too soon, because he **** the bed on the right side and Flo got hurt and worked...and Free didnt fair that much better.
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Old 07-28-2010, 09:48 AM    (permalink
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i dont see the Panthers making it. They have a strong running game i give u that, but i just dont see Matt Moore wowing everyone and the defense has a lot of questions.
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Old 07-28-2010, 09:51 AM    (permalink
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I hope you are right about the Chiefs but their D worries me a great deal.

I like their DB's and the DL while not great is better then giving credit but they have no depth and huge question marks at LB outside of Hali.
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Old 07-28-2010, 10:11 AM    (permalink
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Pftt...nothing was working. Romo gets plenty of freedom at the line, and he frequently audibles and hot routes and what not. Our line was completely dominated from start to finish...nothing would have made a difference. Colombo was probably rushed back too soon, because he **** the bed on the right side and Flo got hurt and worked...and Free didnt fair that much better.
I meant to say snap count.

I just wanted to provoke someone getting all pissy about the idea of Romo as an elite QB. I just love to instigate too much.
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Old 07-28-2010, 10:47 AM    (permalink
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Default About the Cowboys.....

Quote:
Consider for a moment. When has Wade Philips had his team live up to their billing?
Phillips always has survived this prediction forever & it's followed him everywhere he went in his NFL career.

So he's not Mr. Charisma as an NFL HC, but if you work for Jerry Jones it s/b obvious who you allow to all the camera face time & who does all the talking at press conferences. Following an overbearing, Type A personality, Living NFL Legend like Parcells in that highest profiled of any NFL team job didn't enhance his reputation as personable either. I think he's a classic technician type of coach, an Xs & Os quiet type guy, instead of a charismatic buttslapping rah-rah type, what Tim Brown called the "3-Minute Yeller" type of HC (was he reffing Gruden when he said that? I think so). Wade's father Bum was that type of HC, not so the son.

Can't argue with his team-building results where designing 3-4 defenses are concerned either, & that's why they call the Cowboys the NFC Bolts team.

No we can't make Dallas the SB entry for the NFC in thier own home stadium just yet, but you can't ignore the pages they turned last yr, got the playoffs W monkey off their backs, & Romo elevated himself on to the top shelf of NFL QBs by slicing & dicing division rival Philly in 3 of 3 games.

If Doug Free works out at OLT or Columbo returns to his Pro Bowl form there & the offense (RBs especially) stays healthy they could be right there. Also if Dez Bryant lives up to the highly raised bar of expectations, he & Miles Austin are a hall of a 1-2 punch at WR, then thank God they no longer have to depend on Williams' development, don't forget Witten, arguably the best TE in the league. Big factor is home field throughout the playoffs -- if they get that with the Big Show right there in Jerryland as a realistic goal, watch out.

I know the OL is a major factor & the Dallas schedule is brutal -- again, yet another trip to freaking Frozen Tundra in Lambeau Cheeseheadland? C'mon, give us a break -- you can't make them SB44 champs yet. The Packers gave up more sacks than anyone else last yr, everybody is picking them for another SB but I would say they have more OL issues to resolve than Dallas.


But after last season & being the 1st NFL team to sign all its draftees you can't scratch Dallas just yet either.

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Old 07-28-2010, 11:23 AM    (permalink
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I meant to say snap count.

I just wanted to provoke someone getting all pissy about the idea of Romo as an elite QB. I just love to instigate too much.
I still love you Brent.
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Old 07-28-2010, 12:09 PM    (permalink
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Phillips will be Dallas' coach next year too. He is the only coach who has produced a playoff win in Dallas in like 20 years. (well 15?)
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Old 07-28-2010, 12:27 PM    (permalink
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Homer prediction indeed.

I apologize, but Chicago will mutilate Carolina.

Julius Peppers is going to be taking a dump on Matt Moore's head all day long, and Tommie Harris will be flinging some of that poo into Clausen's face as he weep on the sideline. All the while, Jay Cutler is bombing TD passes to Johnny Knox giving old man Fox Hiroshima flashbacks.
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Old 07-28-2010, 12:50 PM    (permalink
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Homer prediction indeed.

I apologize, but Chicago will mutilate Carolina.

Julius Peppers is going to be taking a dump on Matt Moore's head all day long, and Tommie Harris will be flinging some of that poo into Clausen's face as he weep on the sideline. All the while, Jay Cutler is bombing TD passes to Johnny Knox giving old man Fox Hiroshima flashbacks.
Chicago's offensive line with Martz's system is a huge question mark. Julius Peppers is Haynesworth 2.0 waiting to happen. You talk like Harris is a sure thing. I know Cutler came on at the end of the year but he can't throw that many INTs again. I would take Carolina over Chicago.

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I have the raiders getting the number one pick in the draft.............
A man can hope right?
Raiders are going have a solid team this year. Rolando is going to win DROY.
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Old 07-28-2010, 01:00 PM    (permalink
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Tony is an elite QB in this league...just give him time and he'll make good things happen.
Give any Quarterback in the league worth talking about time and they will make good things happen. Personally I think to many people throw around the word Elite and throw it around about too many players. Starting calibre is not elite. Outside of Manning, Brees and Brady there aren't any elite Quarterbacks in the league. After those three you have the likes of Rivers, Rodgers, Schaub, Favre, McNabb, Roethlisberger, all of whom are better than Tony Romo. To say that Romo is an elite Quarterback is to say that at very least there are ten Elite Quarterbacks in this league.
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In Baseball the object is to go home and be safe.
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Old 07-28-2010, 01:15 PM    (permalink
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Homer prediction indeed.

I apologize, but Chicago will mutilate Carolina.

Julius Peppers is going to be taking a dump on Matt Moore's head all day long, and Tommie Harris will be flinging some of that poo into Clausen's face as he weep on the sideline. All the while, Jay Cutler is bombing TD passes to Johnny Knox giving old man Fox Hiroshima flashbacks.
This was awesome
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Old 07-28-2010, 03:40 PM    (permalink
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Give any Quarterback in the league worth talking about time and they will make good things happen. Personally I think to many people throw around the word Elite and throw it around about too many players. Starting calibre is not elite. Outside of Manning, Brees and Brady there aren't any elite Quarterbacks in the league. After those three you have the likes of Rivers, Rodgers, Schaub, Favre, McNabb, Roethlisberger, all of whom are better than Tony Romo. To say that Romo is an elite Quarterback is to say that at very least there are ten Elite Quarterbacks in this league.
The league is incredibly deep at the QB position, these days. And they're all close at the top. You could certainly call him elite. And Mcnabb being better than him, is a joke. What makes any of the players you listed, distinctly better than Romo? I could reel off a whole list that I'd consider "elite", that's just the way it is these days. Most of these guys would be interchangeable. They're all excellent talents. In comparison to past years...these guy are all turning out MVP caliber seasons, damn near each year. The QB postion has never been deeper. You want to talk about a different criteria...involving playoff or superbowl wins (more team oriented), then whatever. But as far as talent goes, this is a QB league, and there are a bevy of elite talents out there.
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Old 07-28-2010, 03:54 PM    (permalink
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More people are saying don't believe in the Cowboys than saying believe in them.

No bold statement. Go ahead and pump up New Orleans, Minnesota and Green Bay. Everyone else is too.
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Old 07-28-2010, 03:56 PM    (permalink
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Chicago's offensive line with Martz's system is a huge question mark. Julius Peppers is Haynesworth 2.0 waiting to happen. You talk like Harris is a sure thing. I know Cutler came on at the end of the year but he can't throw that many INTs again. I would take Carolina over Chicago.



Raiders are going have a solid team this year. Rolando is going to win DROY.
i dont see the Carolina defense as a strenght at all. they have Beason and Gamble. Their DL is a big question and their safeties arent that strong. where is the pass rush gonna come from? Everette Brown?
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Old 07-28-2010, 03:58 PM    (permalink
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The league is incredibly deep at the QB position, these days. And they're all close at the top. You could certainly call him elite. And Mcnabb being better than him, is a joke. What makes any of the players you listed, distinctly better than Romo? I could reel off a whole list that I'd consider "elite", that's just the way it is these days. Most of these guys would be interchangeable. They're all excellent talents. In comparison to past years...these guy are all turning out MVP caliber seasons, damn near each year. The QB postion has never been deeper. You want to talk about a different criteria...involving playoff or superbowl wins (more team oriented), then whatever. But as far as talent goes, this is a QB league, and there are a bevy of elite talents out there.
The term elite means the best in a certain grouping. Manning is elite and Romo doesn't compare to his ability. Brees is elite and Romo doesn't compare to his ability. Brady is elite and Romo doesn't compare to his ability. Quarterbacks are getting better but the elite Quarterbacks are also getting better. If Quarterbacks get better it doesn't mean that more of them become elite it means that we have to raise the bar as to what makes a Quarterback elite. There are 32 Quarterbacks in the league. That means, by definition, that 15 are better than average. I named a large amount of players who are in a similar or better playing level than Romo and I got to 10 Quarterbacks. Are you telling me that there 10 of the 15 above average Quarterbacks in the NFL are elite?
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In Baseball the object is to go home and be safe.
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