Any locks for the week?

[General Zod]

Ive been know to bet on a game here and there through the week if I like the spread. And I figured we have a pick the winner thread, why not have a point spread thread too. For people like me :-)

So who's the locks for this week?


Favorites listed on the left; underdogs on the right. Home teams in capital letters.

NEW ORLEANS 5 Minnesota 48
NY GIANTS 7 Carolina 41
Miami 3 BUFFALO 39
Atlanta 2 PITTSBURGH 37½
CHICAGO 7 Detroit 43
NEW ENGLAND 4½ Cincinnati 45
TAMPA BAY 3 Cleveland 37
JACKSONVILLE 2½ Denver 40
Indianapolis 2 HOUSTON 47
TENNESSEE 6 Oakland 40½
Green Bay 3 PHILADELPHIA 47½
San Francisco 3 SEATTLE 37
Arizona 4 ST LOUIS 39½
Dallas 4 WASHINGTON 40

Monday, Sep. 13
NY JETS 2½ Baltimore 36
San Diego 4½ KANSAS CITY 45

[tjsunstein]

There are never locks but I do like quite a few spreads.

Indianapolis -2.
Sam Francisco -3.
Green Bay -3.
Dallas -4.

[nepg]

I'd take that Detroit spread all day long.

Others:
Miami
Indy
Dallas
SF

[abaddon41_80]

With those spreads Miami (-3), Indy (-2), San Francisco (-3), New England (-4.5), and Baltimore (+2.5) are my top 5 "locks"

[Smooth Criminal]

Take the under in the GB Philly game as long as its raining.

[tjsunstein]

The weather is highly overlooked when placing bets. Always check the forecast.

[xxxxxxxx]

The colts have the super bowl losers curse.. beware.

[RufusMcDaniel]

Jimmy says the Denver/Jacksonville game is too close to call. ``But
if you're one of those compulsive types who just has to bet, well,
I don't know... um... Denver.''

[yourfavestoner]

Originally Posted by RufusMcDaniel

Jimmy says the Denver/Jacksonville game is too close to call. ``But
if you're one of those compulsive types who just has to bet, well,
I don't know... um... Denver.''

Dunno what the weather has been like in Denver the past month, but teams historically have a very, very, very hard time playing in hot, humid Jacksonville in September. I think the spread is just about right on that one.

[vidae]

I'm going to the MNF game at Arrowhead against the Chargers, so I guarantee that one of the teams will walk out of there with a W.

[prock]

I will take those Minny, Indy, and Detroit spreads every day.

[FlyingElvis]

NY GIANTS 7 Carolina 41

Miami 3 BUFFALO 39

TENNESSEE 6 Oakland 40½

San Diego 4½ KANSAS CITY 45


I like these four favorites to destroy the spreads.

[Smooth Criminal]

Originally Posted by tjsunstein

The weather is highly overlooked when placing bets. Always check the forecast.

Me and my friends bet the under with rain last season and it almost always won. Most betters don't take weather into account, so the over/under is usually far too high for a game in the rain.

[General Zod]

Originally Posted by FlyingElvis

NY GIANTS

San Diego 4½ KANSAS CITY 45


I like these four favorites to destroy the spreads.

I dont know, seems like KC always plays SD tight at home.

[Bucs_Rule]

Many people expect the Bills to be the league's worst team. They should get beat by double digits by a good Dolphins team.

I initially was going to say the Chargers should beat KC by a lot, but I worry about how big the loss of Jackson and McNeil will be. The Chargers also start off very slowly.

[Shiver]

I would put my money on San Francisco destroying Seattle.

[umphrey]

Green Bay, Atlanta, San Diego, in that order.

Green Bay matches up excellent with the Eagles on both sides of the ball. It's a case where strengths and weaknesses work heavily in our advantage. Kevin Kolb won't be able to keep up with Aaron Rodgers in his first game, not even close.

Atlanta is consistent, they have a reliable QB, the offense can move the ball. I am completely confident that the Steelers offense is going to be the worst, #32 in the league, for the first 4 weeks. They should have started Batch.

San Diego will show up on Monday night. They are talented, like always, and the Chiefs are definitely not. Philip Rivers is going to tear it up even though he's missing some players. Rivers is an absolute stud. He doesn't need Vincent Jackson to rip apart even a good defense.

Bonus: Indy over Houston. Indy has a ridiculous regular season record and they are true professionals that will show up in regular season form week 1. Not sure that's true about Houston. Also Houston has been getting a lot of hype all offseason. Wouldn't be surprised if they came out flat, maybe open the season 4-4 very similar to the Packers last year.

[P-L]

Originally Posted by umphrey

Bonus: Indy over Houston. Indy has a ridiculous regular season record and they are true professionals that will show up in regular season form week 1. Not sure that's true about Houston. Also Houston has been getting a lot of hype all offseason. Wouldn't be surprised if they came out flat, maybe open the season 4-4 very similar to the Packers last year.

I wouldn't be so confident in Indy. Like Shiver mentioned in another thread, they will likely be starting UDFA Jeff Linkenbach at left tackle and he'll be going up against Mario Williams most of the game.

[umphrey]

Originally Posted by P-L

I wouldn't be so confident in Indy. Like Shiver mentioned in another thread, they will likely be starting UDFA Jeff Linkenbach at left tackle and he'll be going up against Mario Williams most of the game.

That's good to know. I knew they had some new holes in their line this year. I'm pretty sure Peyton will still put together good drives all game but I wouldn't put money on it. They might have to use Dallas Clark as a blocker most of the game.

[Shiver]

Houston took them to the brink twice last year. If I am not mistaken they had the lead against the Colts in both games. It will be tough to knock them off in their home opener, let alone with such a terrible situation on their O-Line. I have a feeling Houston makes a huge statement and knocks off the Colts.

[21ST]

The steelers should beat the falcons straight up atlanta just isnt very impressive

[umphrey]

What are the games you wouldn't touch either way?

[CC.SD]

Indy 2 over Texans is a huuuuge lock.

[Sniper]

Charles Woodson skull******* Kevin Kolb is a solid bet.

[yourfavestoner]

Originally Posted by umphrey

What are the games you wouldn't touch either way?

I would run like hell from NE-Cincy and Ari-Stl.