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Old 05-05-2011, 02:28 AM    (permalink
Mr. Goosemahn
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Default In-Depth 1st Round Analysis

Based on the past five drafts (excluding 2011 of course). So, that's 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2010.

I'm not implying, insinuating, or trying to prove absolutely anything. This is purely for fun, discussion, and the fact that they are intriguing facts (to me at least :P)

--------------------------------------------------------

There have been 12 quarterbacks drafted in the first round.

- Vince Young
- Matt Leinart
- Jay Cutler
- JaMarcus Russell
- Brady Quinn
- Matt Ryan
- Joe Flacco
- Matthew Stafford
- Mark Sanchez
- Josh Freeman
- Sam Bradford
- Tim Tebow

Out of those 12 quarterbacks, 4 are no longer with their original team:
- Matt Leinart
- Jay Cutler
- JaMarcus Russell (out of the league)
- Brady Quinn

Out of those 12 quarterbacks, 8 are starters:
- Vince Young (being generous here...)
- Jay Cutler
- Matt Ryan
- Joe Flacco
- Matt Stafford
- Mark Sanchez
- Josh Freeman
- Sam Bradford

Out of those 7 starters, only 3 have made the Pro-Bowl:
- Vince Young
- Jay Cutler
- Matt Ryan

Out of the 21 QBs drafted in the first round, only 3 have won a playoff game:
- Jay Cutler (1 game)
- Joe Flacco (4 games)
- Mark Sanchez (4 games)

Out of the 3 QB's selected to the Pro-Bowl, only one has won a playoff game, and he won it on another team:
- Jay Cutler

--------------------------------------------------------------------

There have been 17 RB's drafted in the first round.

- Reggie Bush
- Laurence Maroney
- DeAngelo Williams
- Joseph Addai
- Adrian Peterson
- Marshawn Lynch
- Darren McFadden
- Jonathan Stewart
- Felix Jones
- Rashard Mendenhall
- Chris Johnson
- Knowshon Moreno
- Donald Brown
- Chris Wells
- C.J. Spiller
- Ryan Mathews
- Jahvid Best

Out of those 17 RBs, 2 are no longer with their team.
- Laurence Maroney
- Marshawn Lynch

Out of those 17 RBs, 12 are starters.
- DeAngelo Williams
- Joseph Addai
- Adrian Peterson
- Marshawn Lynch
- Darren McFadden
- Felix Jones
- Rashard Mendenhall
- Chris Johnson
- Knowshon Moreno
- Chris Wells
- Ryan Mathews
- Jahvid Best

Out of the 17 first round RBs, 8 (7 starters) have reached 1000 yards in a season.
- DeAngelo Williams
- Joseph Addai
- Adrian Peterson
- Marshawn Lynch
- Darren McFadden
- Jonathan Stewart
- Rashard Mendenhall
- Chris Johnson

Out of those 8 RBs to rush for 1000+ yards, 5 have gone to the Pro-Bowl.
- DeAngelo Williams
- Joseph Addai
- Adrian Peterson
- Marshawn Lynch
- Chris Johnson

--------------------------------------------------------------------

There have been 15 WRs selected in the first round.

- Santonio Holmes
- Calvin Johnson
- Ted Ginn, Jr.
- Dwayne Bowe
- Robert Meachem
- Craig Davis
- Anthony Gonzalez
- Darrius Heyward-Bey
- Michael Crabtree
- Jeremy Maclin
- Percy Harvin
- Hakeem Nicks
- Kenny Britt
- Demaryius Thomas
- Dez Bryant

Out of those 15 WRs, 2 are no longer with their original team:
- Santonio Holmes
- Ted Ginn, Jr.

Out of those 15 WRs, 9 are starters.
- Santonio Holmes
- Calvin Johnson
- Dwayne Bowe
- Darrius Heyward-Bey
- Michael Crabtree
- Jeremy Maclin
- Percy Harvin
- Hakeem Nicks
- Kenny Britt

Out of those 9 starters, 4 have gotten 1000+ yards in a season.
- Santonio Holmes
- Calvin Johnson
- Dwayne Bowe
- Hakeem Nicks

Out of those 15 WRs, 3 have made the Pro-Bowl.
- Calvin Johnson
- Dwayne Bowe
- Percy Harvin

--------------------------------------------------------------------

There have been 6 TE's drafted in the first round.
- Vernon Davis
- Marcedes Lewis
- Greg Olsen
- Dustin Keller
- Brandon Pettigrew
- Jermaine Gresham

All these tight ends are still with their original team.

All these tight ends are starters.

Out of those 6 TE's, 2 have made the Pro-Bowl:
- Vernon Davis
- Marcedes Lewis

Out of these 6 TE's, only 1 has gone over 800 yards in a season.
- Vernon Davis

** As I understand it, both Marcedes Lewis and Vernon Davis are considered good run blockers as well.

--------------------------------------------------------------------

There have been 20 OTs drafted in the first round.
- D'Brickashaw Ferguson
- Joe Thomas
- Levi Brown
- Joe Staley
- Jake Long
- Ryan Clady
- Chris Williams
- Brandon Albert
- Gosder Cherilus
- Jeff Otah
- Sam Baker
- Duane Brown
- Jason Smith
- Andre Smith
- Eugene Monroe
- Michael Oher
- Trent Williams
- Russell Okung
- Anthony Davis
- Bryan Bulaga

All 20 tackles are still with their original team.

All 20 tackles are starters when healthy.

Out of those 20 tackles, 13 play LT:
- D'Brickashaw Ferguson
- Joe Thomas
- Levi Brown
- Joe Staley
- Jake Long
- Ryan Clady
- Brandon Albert
- Sam Baker
- Duane Brown
- Eugene Monroe
- Michael Oher
- Trent Williams
- Russell Okung

Out of those 20 tackles, 5 have made the Pro-Bowl:
- D'Brickashaw Ferguson
- Joe Thomas
- Levi Brown
- Jake Long
- Ryan Clady

--------------------------------------------------------------------

There have been 7 interior offensive linemen drafted in the first round:

- Davin Joseph
- Nick Mangold
- Ben Grubbs
- Alex Mack
- Eric Wood
- Mike Iupati
- Maurkice Pouncey

All 7 interior OL players are with their original team.

All 7 interior OL players are starters.

Out of those 7 players, 4 have made the Pro-Bowl:
- Davin Joseph
- Nick Mangold
- Alex Mack
- Maurkice Pouncey

Out of the 7 players, 4 play guard and 3 center:
- Davin Joseph (guard)
- Ben Grubbs (guard)
- Eric Wood (guard)
- Mike Iupati (guard)

- Nick Mangold (center)
- Alex Mack (center)
- Maurkice Pouncey (center)

Only one guard has made the Pro-Bowl, while all 3 centers have made it.

Out of the 7 players, five were drafted to the AFC, including all four centers:
- Nick Mangold
- Ben Gruggs
- Alex Mack
- Eric Wood
- Maurkice Pouncey

* Furthermore, all AFC players are either in the AFC North or AFC East, which together combine to have 7 teams who run a 3-4 (6 now with the Browns change, 5 maybe with the Bills).

Out of those 7 players, 6 were drafted to teams who have a 3-4 defense (or have had in the past three years):
- Nick Mangold
- Ben Grubbs
- Alex Mack
- Eric Wood
- Mike Iupati
- Maurkice Pouncey

--------------------------------------------------------------------

There have been 21 defensive ends drafted in the first round (not guys that played DE in the NFL, guys that played DE in college):

- Mario Williams
- Kamerion Wimbley
- Tamba Hali
- Mathias Kiwanuka
- Gaines Adams
- Jamaal Anderson
- Jarvis Moss
- Anthony Spencer
- Chris Long
- Vernon Gholston
- Derrick Harvey
- Lawrence Jackson
- Tyson Jackson
- Aaron Maybin
- Brian Orakpo
- Larry English
- Robert Ayers
- Brandon Graham
- Jason Pierre-Paul
- Derrick Morgan
- Jerry Hughes

Out of those 21 guys, 5 are no longer with their original team.
- Kamerion Wimbley
- Gaines Adams
- Jarvis Moss
- Lawrence Jackson
- Vernon Gholston (no team)

Out of those 21 DEs drafted, only 7 are starters:
- Mario Williams
- Kamerion Wimbley
- Tamba Hali
- Anthony Spencer
- Chris Long
- Brian Orakpo
- Robert Ayers

Out of those 8 starters, only 3 have made the Pro-Bowl:
- Mario Wiliams
- Tamba Hali
- Brian Orakpo

Out of those 3 Pro-Bowlers, only 1 actually plays DE:
- Mario Williams

Out of the 8 starters, only 3 actually play DE:
- Mario Williams
- Chris Long
- Tyson Jackson

----------------------------------------------------------------------

There have been 15 LB's drafted in the first round.
- A.J. Hawk
- Ernie Sims
- Chad Greenway
- Bobby Carpenter
- Manny Lawson
- Patrick Willis
- Lawrence Timmons
- Jon Beason
- Keith Rivers
- Jerod Mayo
- Aaron Curry
- Brian Cushing
- Clay Matthews
- Rolando McClain
- Sean Weatherspoon

Out of those 15, 13 are still with their original team. Guys who are not:
- Ernie Sims (Eagles/FA)
- Bobby Carpenter (Lions)

Out of those 15, 14 are starters:
- A.J. Hawk
- Ernie Sims (was a starter with Philly)
- Chad Greenway
- Manny Lawson
- Patrick Willis
- Lawrence Timmons
- Jon Beason
- Keith Rivers
- Jerod Mayo
- Aaron Curry
- Brian Cushing
- Clay Matthews
- Rolando McClain
- Sean Weatherspoon

Out of those 14 players, 5 have made the Pro-Bowl:
- Patrick Willis
- Jon Beason
- Jerod Mayo
- Brian Cushing
- Clay Matthews

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

There have been 19 CB's taken in the first round.
- Tye Hill
- Antonio Cromartie
- Jonathan Joseph
- Kelly Jennings
- Darrelle Revis
- Leon Hall
- Aaron Ross
- Leodis McKelvin
- Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie
- Aqib Talib
- Mike Jenkins
- Antoine Cason
- Malcolm Jenkins
- Vontae Davis
- Joe Haden
- Kareem Jackson
- Devin McCourty
- Kyle Wilson
- Patrick Robinson

Out of those 19 players, 17 are still with their original team. Guys who aren't:
- Tye Hill (Detroit)
- Antonio Cromartie (New York Jets)

Out of those 19 players, 13 are starters.
- Antonio Cromartie
- Jonathan Joseph
- Darrelle Revis
- Leon Hall
- Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie
- Aqib Talib
- Mike Jenkins
- Antoine Cason
- Malcolm Jenkins
- Vontae Davis
- Joe Haden
- Kareem Jackson
- Devin McCourty

Out of those 13 starters, 5 have made the Pro-Bowl:
- Antonio Cromartie
- Darrelle Revis
- Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie
- Mike Jenkins
- Devin McCourty

Three of the Pro-Bowl CB's are in the AFC East.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Missing safeties and league-wide stats, I'll add them later today after my last exams.
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Last edited by Mr. Goosemahn : 05-07-2011 at 03:21 AM.
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Old 05-05-2011, 02:54 AM    (permalink
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Good stuff Goosemahn. Will Mario Williams be playing a 5-tech in their new 3-4 defense is the question. I bet he rotates in and out. That'll be a tricky defense to figure out if they work it right.
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Old 05-05-2011, 03:28 PM    (permalink
Mr. Goosemahn
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Added four more positions.
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Old 05-05-2011, 04:14 PM    (permalink
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Considering the history of 1st round QBs, 8 out of 12 starters actually isn't bad.

And I only consider Russell and Quinn as sure-fire busts.

Leinart has shown some flashes and might actually salvage his career.
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Old 05-06-2011, 12:12 PM    (permalink
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vernon gholston is not with his original team. or with any team right now.
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Old 05-06-2011, 12:51 PM    (permalink
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The problem with Kiwi and JPP is the depth ahead of them. They'd be starters on pretty much all other NFL teams.
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Old 05-06-2011, 01:00 PM    (permalink
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Very good read, txs for the hard work.
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Old 05-06-2011, 10:05 PM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iamcanadian View Post
Very good read, txs for the hard work.
^ Ditto. Thanks MrGoose. ^

The QB failure rate is amazing.
And Matt Ryan making a Pro Bowl was bogus, same with Cutler over Rivers a few years ago.
Vince Young making a Pro Bowl in the AFC with Brady, Manning, Rivers, Big Ben? Really?

The Pro Bowl is *********.
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Old 05-06-2011, 10:11 PM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by J-Mike88 View Post
^ Ditto. Thanks MrGoose. ^

The QB failure rate is amazing.
And Matt Ryan making a Pro Bowl was bogus, same with Cutler over Rivers a few years ago.
Vince Young making a Pro Bowl in the AFC with Brady, Manning, Rivers, Big Ben? Really?

The Pro Bowl is *********.
The real problem, especially these days, is that everybody on your two championship teams is indisposed for the Pro Bowl, and that your best and most experienced players will just find an excuse to not attend. So sometimes you get like 7 deep on the pro bowl voting until you can find a guy at that position who will actually attend the event.

That, and the fact that fans get to vote for the honor means it's pretty much meaningless. Fans are incredibly reliable at selecting those players they have heard of, which doesn't necessarily have any relation to the best players.
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Old 05-07-2011, 01:21 AM    (permalink
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In regard to the quarterbacks, they do take longer to mature as a rule and tend to play to a later age. With their most productive years often in their 30s. The oldest quarterbacks on your list are 28 I think, and the youngest 23. So the data gets a bit skewed from a positional perspective. Tebow could be a starter this season, with Quinn and Leinart longer shots to eventually start. Only Russell probably is a complete writeoff at this point in time.
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Old 05-07-2011, 01:33 AM    (permalink
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The stats for linemen make me feel better about the Seahawks' draft.
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Old 05-07-2011, 02:18 AM    (permalink
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Great write up Goose. Awesome work.

Just one correction...I am pretty sure Tyson Jackson isn't starting see as he was a "healthy scratch" for a few games last year. Not 100% sure on that one though...maybe a Chiefs fan can confirm?
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Old 05-07-2011, 02:55 AM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrankthatCrabtree View Post
Great write up Goose. Awesome work.

Just one correction...I am pretty sure Tyson Jackson isn't starting see as he was a "healthy scratch" for a few games last year. Not 100% sure on that one though...maybe a Chiefs fan can confirm?
You're right, my bad. He lost his starting job to Shaun Smith according to his Rotoworld page. I shall update this.
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Old 05-07-2011, 02:55 AM    (permalink
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you left Levi Brown off the probowl list, he made the team in 09 he also is our starting LT so he should be on that list too
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Old 05-07-2011, 03:18 AM    (permalink
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Added LB's and CB's. Missing DT and S, I'll add them later today.
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Old 05-07-2011, 03:19 AM    (permalink
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Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Mr. Goosemahn is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fenikz View Post
you left Levi Brown off the probowl list, he made the team in 09 he also is our starting LT so he should be on that list too
Cool beans, I'll change it. When did he make the change?
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