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Old 07-05-2012, 11:08 PM    (permalink
Snicho
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Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.Snicho is kind of a big deal around here, people know him.
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I assume it meant his percentage went up for dying?
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Old 07-05-2012, 11:14 PM    (permalink
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With Gonzo, it's always o hard to tell. I would like to hear from him as to any reason he shouldn't be lynched.
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Old 07-05-2012, 11:23 PM    (permalink
Dr. Gonzo
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I have a 2 in 3 chance of dying tonight.
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Old 07-05-2012, 11:24 PM    (permalink
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You also had a 1 in 6 chance of being both a seer and a werewolf...
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Old 07-05-2012, 11:26 PM    (permalink
Dr. Gonzo
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I am either dead or a seer now according to my new odds. I am dead either way so do what you will.
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Old 07-05-2012, 11:26 PM    (permalink
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Vote Count

Gonzo
(3) Cigaro, Snicho, SBH

With 11 people left 6 are needed for majority
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oh please. as if canadians even know what beer is.

Last edited by Brothgar : 07-05-2012 at 11:55 PM.
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Old 07-05-2012, 11:45 PM    (permalink
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Cigaro's reasoning for Gonzo is about as much as I can think of to go on. assuming nobody has info and we'd pick RR anyway, might as well see why he tried to lie.

vote: Gonzo
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Old 07-05-2012, 11:49 PM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dr. Gonzo View Post
I am either dead or a seer now according to my new odds. I am dead either way so do what you will.
so you're going to die no matter what?
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Old 07-05-2012, 11:55 PM    (permalink
Dr. Gonzo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fenikz View Post
so you're going to die no matter what?
Either I die tonight from whatever or I turn into a seer and die soon after so ya, I will die.

As for lying it's not like any of you were eager to talk numbers. I wanted to see the response from people when I gave the fake numbers. Nothing came of it. I could have continued lying and not been lynched but instead said I was lying to confirm Shanes story and so we can all understand better what the hell is going on. It seems I should have just been inactive or continue lying I guess seeing as everyone will just go with the easy lynch.
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Old 07-06-2012, 01:16 AM    (permalink
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OK it seems like this died down for the night. I am going to bed. I'll check in the morning to make sure that no one has hit 6 yet.
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oh please. as if canadians even know what beer is.
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Old 07-06-2012, 04:02 AM    (permalink
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well i guess if gonzo wants to do it this way.

vote gonzo
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Old 07-06-2012, 07:02 AM    (permalink
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i had a feeling everyone and their mother would target gonzo last night, probably sky rocketed his odds.

mine plummeted, not sure if that happened to anyone else or not
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Old 07-06-2012, 08:00 AM    (permalink
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This game is confusing.

If Gonzo has a 2/3 chance of dying do we kill him knowing he is going to die or let him live knowing he has a really good chance to die tonight.
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Old 07-06-2012, 08:38 AM    (permalink
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I think the problem is, if we dont kill him tonight, i dont see why they would kill him honestly. If he comes back alive another time, we will just question it more tomorrow.

Im also really confused with this setup
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Old 07-06-2012, 08:53 AM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by *** Ork Wang View Post
I think the problem is, if we dont kill him tonight, i dont see why they would kill him honestly. If he comes back alive another time, we will just question it more tomorrow.

Im also really confused with this setup
So am I but what I think might happen is lets say Grizz is 25% Werewolf targets Gonzo gonzo gets a 25% increase to his death percentage?

Thats the only thing that would make sense to me. It would make perfect sense to target him again tonight if we don't lynch him. It would kill him and someone else through a lynch.

With that said if his death percentage is actually that high it might confirm he is not a WW.
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Old 07-06-2012, 08:57 AM    (permalink
Snicho
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This game is clearly different to every other game weve ever played. we could keep speculating theories and get no where, or we take a stab in the dark, and lynch someone. Gonzo clearly doesnt have the best intentions for the town by lying to us.
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Old 07-06-2012, 08:59 AM    (permalink
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BTW I understand that Grizz is not in the game. It was a way to explain my theory without accusing other people Gonzo style.
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Old 07-06-2012, 09:07 AM    (permalink
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Im guessing this, if you are a werewolve and you target someone, his percentage rises. if he is a 66% i doubt the rest here has more than 34 percent. i think if all werewolves target him at least once, he dies.
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Old 07-06-2012, 09:16 AM    (permalink
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Well, this game is indeed much different than any game we have played so far.
So much so, I'm going to break from my usual MO and and even from standard game play and be extremely honest. I had a ridiculously low level of having a certain ability. Alas, it came back to me that Shane was evil.
Usually I would never reveal such info so early, but for as much as this game seems to be unpredictable, I figure I had better let it out now.

vote:Shane
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Old 07-06-2012, 09:16 AM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by *** Ork Wang View Post
Im guessing this, if you are a werewolve and you target someone, his percentage rises. if he is a 66% i doubt the rest here has more than 34 percent. i think if all werewolves target him at least once, he dies.
Thats what I am saying. So right now we have a dilemma.

If Gonzo in fact has 66% death then he is likely a townie and likely going to die tonight. So we have two options.

Option One: Lynch Gonzo - If we lynch Gonzo we most likely lose a townie but we prevent 2 sure fire deaths today and hope the WW can only raise someone's percentage.

Option Two: We lynch someone else. This will likely hit a townie due to a standard setup and will basically almost certainly kill two people today (Gonzo and whomever is lynched). We have a shot at hitting a WW but it is probably a 2/11 shot.
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Old 07-06-2012, 09:19 AM    (permalink
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With what CJ just brought to the table I am more than okay taking option two with his word Shane is bad.

Vote: JBond
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Old 07-06-2012, 09:20 AM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CJSchneider View Post
Well, this game is indeed much different than any game we have played so far.
So much so, I'm going to break from my usual MO and and even from standard game play and be extremely honest. I had a ridiculously low level of having a certain ability. Alas, it came back to me that Shane was evil.
Usually I would never reveal such info so early, but for as much as this game seems to be unpredictable, I figure I had better let it out now.

vote:Shane
I kinda want to vote you just for writing in that style, do we think the % affects the results?
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Old 07-06-2012, 09:23 AM    (permalink
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well based on CJ's info, I have to vote Shane. if he comes back good, we'll know CJ is a liar and we can make him the lynch tomorrow. there's probably just the same chance of hitting on a WW this way as RR or voting for Gonzo.

unvote: Gonzo
vote: Shane
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Old 07-06-2012, 09:24 AM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by fenikz View Post
I kinda want to vote you just for writing in that style, do we think the % affects the results?
I honestly can't say, but the language our messages were written leads me to believe that is not the case. I also imagine that my ability percentages will change drastically tonight as many others did last night.
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Old 07-06-2012, 09:24 AM    (permalink
Snicho
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Originally Posted by CJSchneider View Post
Well, this game is indeed much different than any game we have played so far.
So much so, I'm going to break from my usual MO and and even from standard game play and be extremely honest. I had a ridiculously low level of having a certain ability. Alas, it came back to me that Shane was evil.
Usually I would never reveal such info so early, but for as much as this game seems to be unpredictable, I figure I had better let it out now.

vote:Shane
Well this is weird.

Because my vision of Shane came back as good.
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